Research Method

Methodology

What The Monitor Looks For

The monitor reviews NASDAQ Capital Market stocks for event-driven price spikes followed by pullbacks toward earlier base levels. The goal is to surface research candidates that resemble prior first-spike, fade, and stabilization patterns. The output is a watchlist, not a trade signal.

Data Inputs

The scan combines NASDAQCM universe data, SEC filing events, daily OHLCV price history, event-driven mover statistics, and company names. The site stores the latest generated data in JSON files and keeps archived reports in CSV and Markdown files.

Score Components

Candidate scores combine catalyst type, first-spike strength, pullback depth, distance to base price, volume behavior, stabilization, liquidity, theme tags, and risk flags. Theme tags currently include AI, space/lunar, quantum, semiconductors, defense/security, crypto/blockchain, FDA/biotech, autonomy/robotics, energy/nuclear, rare earth/resources, and ownership/squeeze.

SEC event coverage includes common catalyst and risk filings such as 8-K, 6-K, 10-Q, 10-K, late-filing notices, S-1/S-3 registrations, 424B prospectus filings, and Schedule 13G/13G/A ownership disclosures. Ownership disclosures are treated as speculative squeeze context and receive explicit risk flags rather than being treated as fundamental operating news.

Limits

The scoring model can miss catalysts, overstate noisy patterns, or rank illiquid securities highly during unusual market conditions. SEC filings and market data can be delayed or corrected after publication. Scores should be treated as a research starting point and checked against primary sources before any financial decision.